Boys
-
Girls
Elkhart Central Regional
2006
-
2007 -
2008
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this regional. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
| Rank | Name | Grade | School | Rating | State Rank |
|---|
| 1 |
Valerie Burns |
10 |
Penn |
18:39 |
#6 |
| 2 |
Ali Hochstetler |
9 |
Bethany Christian |
19:07 |
#24 |
| 3 |
Karissa Cominator |
12 |
Northridge |
19:22 |
#40 |
| 4 |
Hannah Miller |
12 |
Northridge |
19:26 |
#44 |
| 5 |
Rachel Hollinger-Janzen |
12 |
Goshen |
19:33 |
#55 |
| 6 |
Hanna Mercer |
11 |
Northridge |
19:39 |
#58 |
| 7 |
Katelyn Eberhardt |
12 |
Mishawaka |
19:42 |
#60 |
| 8 |
Beth Werge |
10 |
Riley |
19:44 |
#63 |
| 9 |
Hope Jordan |
9 |
Bremen |
19:49 |
#68 |
| 10 |
Sarah Hutchings |
12 |
Penn |
19:49 |
#69 |
| 11 |
Hayley Keil |
10 |
Northridge |
19:52 |
#74 |
| 12 |
Caitlyn Koscielski |
11 |
Marian |
19:56 |
#87 |
| 13 |
Emily Haines |
11 |
Mishawaka |
20:00 |
#96 |
| 14 |
Diamond Setterberg |
10 |
Fairfield |
20:02 |
#103 |
|
|
Regional Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the sectional simulation for each trial were included in the regional simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
| School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
|---|
| Northridge |
100.0% |
1.0 |
35 |
18 |
70 |
98.1 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Goshen |
100.0% |
2.8 |
69 |
31 |
113 |
1.3 |
52.1 |
22.3 |
15.2 |
9.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Penn |
100.0% |
3.4 |
75 |
42 |
109 |
0.1 |
17.3 |
36.4 |
31.7 |
14.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Mishawaka |
100.0% |
3.8 |
79 |
40 |
120 |
0.4 |
15.7 |
23.1 |
28.1 |
32.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Riley |
100.0% |
4.0 |
82 |
41 |
117 |
0.2 |
13.2 |
18.1 |
25.0 |
43.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
|---|
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
| Valerie Burns |
Penn |
18:39 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
88.2 |
9.7 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ali Hochstetler |
Bethany Christian |
19:07 |
100.0% |
1.8 |
9.1 |
54.5 |
16.4 |
9.3 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Karissa Cominator |
Northridge |
19:22 |
100.0% |
3.3 |
1.4 |
15.3 |
26.3 |
21.6 |
13.7 |
8.1 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Hannah Miller |
Northridge |
19:26 |
100.0% |
4.0 |
0.8 |
8.6 |
19.6 |
21.5 |
16.3 |
12.0 |
7.9 |
5.2 |
3.1 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
| Rachel Hollinger-Janzen |
Goshen |
19:33 |
100.0% |
5.3 |
0.3 |
5.7 |
14.2 |
12.9 |
13.7 |
12.8 |
10.6 |
8.4 |
6.8 |
5.1 |
4.0 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Hanna Mercer |
Northridge |
19:39 |
100.0% |
6.5 |
0.1 |
1.3 |
4.3 |
9.0 |
13.9 |
14.9 |
12.4 |
11.1 |
9.7 |
7.3 |
5.4 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Katelyn Eberhardt |
Mishawaka |
19:42 |
100.0% |
7.3 |
0.1 |
1.9 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
11.4 |
11.3 |
9.7 |
9.0 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Beth Werge |
Riley |
19:44 |
100.0% |
8.0 |
0.1 |
1.5 |
4.6 |
6.1 |
8.0 |
9.5 |
10.6 |
10.1 |
10.6 |
9.5 |
8.4 |
6.5 |
5.4 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Hope Jordan |
Bremen |
19:49 |
100.0% |
9.2 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
8.8 |
9.9 |
10.2 |
9.8 |
10.0 |
8.4 |
7.1 |
5.9 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
| Sarah Hutchings |
Penn |
19:49 |
100.0% |
9.3 |
|
0.6 |
2.7 |
3.7 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
10.0 |
10.3 |
9.4 |
8.6 |
7.3 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
| Hayley Keil |
Northridge |
19:52 |
100.0% |
10.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
3.1 |
6.4 |
8.2 |
9.5 |
10.1 |
10.8 |
10.9 |
9.8 |
8.3 |
7.2 |
5.4 |
3.5 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
| Caitlyn Koscielski |
Marian |
19:56 |
100.0% |
11.1 |
|
0.2 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.5 |
3.8 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
8.1 |
9.1 |
10.3 |
10.7 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
6.3 |
5.2 |
3.4 |
2.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
| Emily Haines |
Mishawaka |
20:00 |
100.0% |
12.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
5.4 |
6.5 |
8.2 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
10.3 |
10.5 |
8.3 |
6.8 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
| Diamond Setterberg |
Fairfield |
20:02 |
100.0% |
12.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
5.5 |
7.1 |
8.1 |
9.6 |
11.2 |
10.2 |
10.2 |
7.0 |
5.9 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
